Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 6.817218 7.529199 8.319443 9.268529 10.386775 11.674320 13.286516
2025-02-02 6.026087 7.050821 8.293970 9.945208 12.132742 15.012359 19.240233
2025-02-09 5.493721 6.673052 8.190983 10.354954 13.483921 18.070119 25.815421
2025-02-16 4.999350 6.234229 7.892360 10.383664 14.239546 20.414332 32.229286
2025-02-23 4.709612 6.012600 7.830713 10.700091 15.445366 23.767076 42.055556
2025-03-02 4.286693 5.552881 7.362671 10.310496 15.404317 24.917573 48.093803
2025-03-09 3.968946 5.208732 7.019737 10.056471 15.525816 26.388712 55.845337
2025-03-16 3.731356 4.957842 6.787054 9.942213 15.864208 28.397798 66.646278
2025-03-23 3.623403 4.887572 6.821856 10.278632 17.121164 32.895450 90.120030
2025-03-30 3.392299 4.611567 6.502118 9.944568 16.957511 33.919827 102.288688
2025-04-06 3.179264 4.349258 6.183126 9.574102 16.649844 34.481684 113.558789
2025-04-13 2.991008 4.114279 5.891685 9.223248 16.325993 34.912445 125.316975
2025-04-20 2.852374 3.961951 5.747552 9.177375 16.782999 38.151589 163.752659
2025-04-27 2.839093 4.010903 5.953386 9.851904 19.150088 49.192169 325.097680
2025-05-04 2.781581 3.982126 6.019457 10.256232 20.999936 60.408561 679.378706
2025-05-11 2.676381 3.865615 5.915857 10.284550 21.852617 68.534362 1337.491721
2025-05-18 2.617067 3.821823 5.940300 10.596492 23.644871 83.817765 5693.021551
2025-05-25 2.477631 3.631639 5.674499 10.212410 23.184173 86.022334 12932.680515
2025-06-01 2.365207 3.482343 5.475952 9.961927 23.102031 90.861843 95150.268525
2025-06-08 2.277348 3.371192 5.342528 9.849248 23.458572 99.583945 NaN
2025-06-15 2.244428 3.354564 5.390709 10.180993 25.487681 126.126881 NaN
2025-06-22 2.144648 3.213481 5.182914 9.851571 24.999290 129.321662 NaN
2025-06-29 2.047507 3.073144 4.968891 9.486167 24.297103 129.673414 NaN